Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Washington Mystics v Los Angeles Sparks Series Betting Trends

The Washington Mystics travel to Los Angeles to play the Sparks at 10:35 PM on Monday, June 18, 2012. Los Angeles is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 148.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any WNBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

When looking at the last 28 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 14 games compared to 14 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Washington/Los Angeles series is 75.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 74.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.6 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 28 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.9 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on Washington makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Mystics and the Sparks is 150 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 148.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Washington as the road team and with Los Angeles as the home team.

When looking at the last 13 games in this series while Los Angeles has been the home team, we can see the Sparks have won 9 games compared to 4 wins for the Mystics. Average points scored per game by Los Angeles in this situation is is 79 ppg while Washington has put up 74.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.9 favoring the Mystics.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -3.6 when meassured against the offered line of -8.5, suggesting a wager on the Mystics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 13 games between the Mystics and the Sparks is 153.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 5.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 148.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Washington Mystics Cover the Spread?

This season the Washington Mystics have played 7 games, averaging 69.1 points per game, while allowing 72.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Mystics results.